So what if Ethanol became cheap and widely available?
So what if Ethanol became cheap and widely available?
Against UN wishes, there's still alot of research going on with BioFuels. Last week researchers found a way to reduce the production cost of ethanol by 1/3rd:
http://www.dailytech.com/Corn+Ethano...ticle11901.htm
Earlier in the month I read a pretty good article about using algae to create ethanol:
http://www.dailytech.com/Algae+May+S...ticle11671.htm
Benefits: First it’s fast-growing. Secondly, it removes carbon dioxide from the air. Finally, it's a non-food crop and will have less impact on food prices. Algae has more energy density than soybeans, a typical high-energy land crop.
Obviously there are going to be draw backs to either scenario, but right now BioFuels are in a state of rapid technological boom, as would be expected with your normal cycle of progression of technology.
So assume this hypothetical scenario:
With a combination of production sources, BioFules become cheap ($2/gallon) and widely available, without terribly affecting the price of world wide food. I've been really trying to think through two questions:
1. What would this do for the electric car over the next 10 years? At $2 a gallon the personal business case for an electric car becomes a little clouded until the battery progresses to cheap and useful state, which does not sound like it will happen for several years according to Eric's comments in this thread:
https://www.camaroz28.com/forums/sho...d.php?t=605570
2. How mad would you be if CAFE standards, for all intensive purposes, killed the V8 and GM replaced most of its 4 passenger RWD cars with hipo V6 motors (albeit on lower weight platforms)?
http://www.dailytech.com/Corn+Ethano...ticle11901.htm
Earlier in the month I read a pretty good article about using algae to create ethanol:
http://www.dailytech.com/Algae+May+S...ticle11671.htm
Benefits: First it’s fast-growing. Secondly, it removes carbon dioxide from the air. Finally, it's a non-food crop and will have less impact on food prices. Algae has more energy density than soybeans, a typical high-energy land crop.
Obviously there are going to be draw backs to either scenario, but right now BioFuels are in a state of rapid technological boom, as would be expected with your normal cycle of progression of technology.
So assume this hypothetical scenario:
With a combination of production sources, BioFules become cheap ($2/gallon) and widely available, without terribly affecting the price of world wide food. I've been really trying to think through two questions:
1. What would this do for the electric car over the next 10 years? At $2 a gallon the personal business case for an electric car becomes a little clouded until the battery progresses to cheap and useful state, which does not sound like it will happen for several years according to Eric's comments in this thread:
https://www.camaroz28.com/forums/sho...d.php?t=605570
2. How mad would you be if CAFE standards, for all intensive purposes, killed the V8 and GM replaced most of its 4 passenger RWD cars with hipo V6 motors (albeit on lower weight platforms)?
be very interesting to see im convinced that either ethanol or hydrogen fuel cells are the future. there is just to much holding battery technology back and to many limitations on the consumer/driver. I use 4 ton battery operated fork lifts at work and from using them i just cant see it working well on a car.
by the way ethanol is 2.95 a gallon while regular is 4.06 by me
by the way ethanol is 2.95 a gallon while regular is 4.06 by me
Last edited by GRNcamaro; May 31, 2008 at 09:30 AM.
At $2/gallon for a usable biofuel (like ethanol), there is simply no case for electric cars. Hell, there's hardly a case for the far less expensive hybrid technology until you get gasoline into the $5-6 range, and you need to push gas well into the double-digits before plug-in hybrids or all-out EVs start to look like financially-attractive solutions.
2. How mad would you be if CAFE standards, for all intensive purposes, killed the V8 and GM replaced most of its 4 passenger RWD cars with hipo V6 motors (albeit on lower weight platforms)?
), and the V8 will always have its place in halo cars (I can't see a 4cyl Vette in any future), but for mainstream cars, I have no issue with V6s.e.g. A G8 with an E85-optimized DI, Turbo'ed V6 as the top dog offering wouldn't bother me at all, particularly if the car weight was brought down into the 3400lbs range.
(grammar alert- it's "for all intents and purposes")
They have also been able to create cheaper ethanol fuel even than the corn based stuff using Garbage.. you know.. free stuff everyone throws away lol. We could just about eliminate landfills at that point. Almost.
Keep in mind that all of this "cheap garbage" is largely due to cheap oil. If energy gets more expensive, then our waste will decrease.
Let me get this out of the way before anyone else blast E-85.
You only get 2/3 the MPG so, your real cost would be 3.92 per gallon for the same range.
Okay, I like that we are in the beginning of this Biofuel boom. It just keeps getting cheaper and cheaper to produce. I can only imagine what 10 years will bring. I also like that if we grow it the money is staying here in the U.S. that creates a money circulation in ones home country. Getting off foreign oil would be worth the $3.92 per gallon.
You only get 2/3 the MPG so, your real cost would be 3.92 per gallon for the same range.
Okay, I like that we are in the beginning of this Biofuel boom. It just keeps getting cheaper and cheaper to produce. I can only imagine what 10 years will bring. I also like that if we grow it the money is staying here in the U.S. that creates a money circulation in ones home country. Getting off foreign oil would be worth the $3.92 per gallon.
Let me get this out of the way before anyone else blast E-85.
You only get 2/3 the MPG so, your real cost would be 3.92 per gallon for the same range.
Okay, I like that we are in the beginning of this Biofuel boom. It just keeps getting cheaper and cheaper to produce. I can only imagine what 10 years will bring. I also like that if we grow it the money is staying here in the U.S. that creates a money circulation in ones home country. Getting off foreign oil would be worth the $3.92 per gallon.
You only get 2/3 the MPG so, your real cost would be 3.92 per gallon for the same range.
Okay, I like that we are in the beginning of this Biofuel boom. It just keeps getting cheaper and cheaper to produce. I can only imagine what 10 years will bring. I also like that if we grow it the money is staying here in the U.S. that creates a money circulation in ones home country. Getting off foreign oil would be worth the $3.92 per gallon.
Yes. Thank you.
Ethanol would have to be $1 - $1.50 per gallon for it to be worth it for the average consumer.
And that's leaving out the "domestically grown & produced" part of the equation. It's clear that American consumers, for the most part, don't really care where stuff is made.
very truw but it seems the higher gas goes the larger the gap between e85 and gas gets. e85 was 2.92 here when gas was 3.75-3.85 when gas was cheaper i dont know because they just put the pumps in about a month ago and i been watching it like a hawk. not that i have a car that can run on it.
also it may get cheaper as production gets better and if we start to use more and more of it maybe then can make cars run more efficiently on it. im still uncertain of e85 but
also it may get cheaper as production gets better and if we start to use more and more of it maybe then can make cars run more efficiently on it. im still uncertain of e85 but
Let me get this out of the way before anyone else blast E-85.
You only get 2/3 the MPG so, your real cost would be 3.92 per gallon for the same range.
Okay, I like that we are in the beginning of this Biofuel boom. It just keeps getting cheaper and cheaper to produce. I can only imagine what 10 years will bring. I also like that if we grow it the money is staying here in the U.S. that creates a money circulation in ones home country. Getting off foreign oil would be worth the $3.92 per gallon.
You only get 2/3 the MPG so, your real cost would be 3.92 per gallon for the same range.
Okay, I like that we are in the beginning of this Biofuel boom. It just keeps getting cheaper and cheaper to produce. I can only imagine what 10 years will bring. I also like that if we grow it the money is staying here in the U.S. that creates a money circulation in ones home country. Getting off foreign oil would be worth the $3.92 per gallon.
Let me get this out of the way before anyone else blast E-85.
You only get 2/3 the MPG so, your real cost would be 3.92 per gallon for the same range.
Okay, I like that we are in the beginning of this Biofuel boom. It just keeps getting cheaper and cheaper to produce. I can only imagine what 10 years will bring. I also like that if we grow it the money is staying here in the U.S. that creates a money circulation in ones home country. Getting off foreign oil would be worth the $3.92 per gallon.
You only get 2/3 the MPG so, your real cost would be 3.92 per gallon for the same range.
Okay, I like that we are in the beginning of this Biofuel boom. It just keeps getting cheaper and cheaper to produce. I can only imagine what 10 years will bring. I also like that if we grow it the money is staying here in the U.S. that creates a money circulation in ones home country. Getting off foreign oil would be worth the $3.92 per gallon.
I live in an area where E85 is about a $1.30 cheaper than regular gas right now. I wish I had an E85 vehicle, because I'd be saving money if I could use it. It would be even better if I had a vehicle that was optimized for E85, because then the engine could be set to only run it, and get even better fuel mileage than a flex fuel vehicle. We probably won't ever see an E85 vehicle get equal mileage to a gas vehicle due to the lesser energy content than gasoline, but if we could get it to 10%, that would be a pretty good step.
And if we can get cellulose ethanol production going, even better. Corn-based ethanol is only about a 3 to 1 gain right now. I've heard that if we can get mass production of cellulose-based ethanol, it would be something along the line of 35 to 1 gain. Brazil is a pretty good example with their sugar cane-based ethanol system.
$2.95 * 33% = .9735 So, $2.95 + .97 = $3.92 for the same range
Last edited by soul strife; May 31, 2008 at 12:55 PM.


