Automotive News / Industry / Future Vehicle Discussion Automotive news and discussion about upcoming vehicles

Will GM actually make money on the Volt?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 09-03-2008, 11:02 PM
  #1  
Registered User
Thread Starter
 
formula79's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: USA
Posts: 3,698
Will GM actually make money on the Volt?

Seems like every day I hear some new platform was cancelled to pay for the Volt. This would obviously insinuate they are betting the farm on it. The thing that bugs me is...will it make money? I know Toyota lost money on the Prius for a long time. The only way GM could make money is to price the Volt high...and I don't think they can get away with that given the fact there are plenty of compelling compact alternatives that may be be as eco friendly...but more cost efficiant.

I am very scared for GM at this point. 9-12 months ago they were making the best cars they ever have, and on the right track. Now because oil has spiked, they are making rash, knee jerk decisions on products that don't seem to make money. Now that the speculation is shaking it's way out the oil markets...the new car market may be very different in a year if gas goes down another dollar a gallon.
formula79 is offline  
Old 09-03-2008, 11:09 PM
  #2  
Registered User
 
Threxx's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 1998
Location: Memphis
Posts: 4,338
If the Volt started a revolution - became the most popular, desired, well regarded (short and long term) and revolutionary car the US has seen in ages... the modern model T... then it wouldn't matter if GM made money on it or not... it would be a 180 for GM's momentum in public perception and popularity which would spur on the sale of the rest of their products as well as future volt sales when it DID become profitable.

What they need most right now is an image change... not profit.
Threxx is offline  
Old 09-03-2008, 11:15 PM
  #3  
West South Central Moderator
 
AdioSS's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Kilgore TX 75662
Posts: 3,372
Originally Posted by Threxx
If the Volt started a revolution - became the most popular, desired, well regarded (short and long term) and revolutionary car the US has seen in ages... the modern model T... then it wouldn't matter if GM made money on it or not... it would be a 180 for GM's momentum in public perception and popularity which would spur on the sale of the rest of their products as well as future volt sales when it DID become profitable.

What they need most right now is an image change... not profit.
Did you REALLY just say that a company that lost billions last quarter does not need to turn a profit?


Yes GM needs an image change, but it needs to turn a profit more than anything...
AdioSS is offline  
Old 09-03-2008, 11:18 PM
  #4  
Registered User
 
SSbaby's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 3,123
GM recently got Ford behind the project which should help...
SSbaby is offline  
Old 09-03-2008, 11:36 PM
  #5  
Registered User
Thread Starter
 
formula79's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: USA
Posts: 3,698
This was Toyota's approach with the Prius..and it worked. Problem is..GM cannot do that with the situation they are in. Anything the invest money now has to make money itself..and soon. Keep in mind, GM has been propped up on the sale of SUV's for years..making $5-10K a pop. They have essentially stupped investment and full size trucks and sent that money to the Volt. Even assuming $1-2K profit a vehicle, they are gonna have to sell an assload of Volts (500,000+ I would say) to do that. That is not gonna happen...not with GM's image and the car being a compact. Not with Toyota already a leader in the field and not sitting still. They will supposedly have a competing technology in the Prius by the time the Volt comes to market. I don't think the Volt is the marvel that people make it out to be. It still has a gas engine..and even though plugging it in the wall may give you warm and fuzzies, that electric coming from the wall socket is still generated in most cases by fossil fuel.


Originally Posted by Threxx
If the Volt started a revolution - became the most popular, desired, well regarded (short and long term) and revolutionary car the US has seen in ages... the modern model T... then it wouldn't matter if GM made money on it or not... it would be a 180 for GM's momentum in public perception and popularity which would spur on the sale of the rest of their products as well as future volt sales when it DID become profitable.

What they need most right now is an image change... not profit.
formula79 is offline  
Old 09-04-2008, 06:15 AM
  #6  
Registered User
 
Eric Bryant's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Michigan's left coast
Posts: 2,405
GM should have been doing this program back in the late 90s, when they were flush with money from SUVs and pension returns (this, of course, is when Toyota spent its money on the Prius).

Now, they're killing off potentially profitable programs to do the Volt - a vehicle that, like the Prius, likely won't be profitable from the standpoint of gross margin for several years and a couple model cycles. Of course, the finanical picture just looks worse when you factor in ED&T (engineering, development, and test) as well as the tooling and capital costs.

I think that GM needs to do something like the Volt in order to survive the worst-case scenario ($10-15/gal fuel), but it may end up being a matter of too little, too late. I hope that's not the case, but anyone who thinks that 2011 will bring the rebirth of GM is probably at least five years optimistic.
Eric Bryant is offline  
Old 09-04-2008, 06:51 AM
  #7  
Super Moderator
 
JakeRobb's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Okemos, MI
Posts: 9,485
Originally Posted by Eric Bryant
GM should have been doing this program back in the late 90s
Well, they did do the EV1 back then, which flopped because, among several other reasons, fuel was cheap and battery technology wasn't good enough.
JakeRobb is offline  
Old 09-04-2008, 07:44 AM
  #8  
Registered User
 
Eric Bryant's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Michigan's left coast
Posts: 2,405
Originally Posted by JakeRobb
Well, they did do the EV1 back then, which flopped because, among several other reasons, fuel was cheap and battery technology wasn't good enough.
Toyota's first- and second-gen Prius flopped, too - yet, they stuck with it and the third-gen vehicle now outsells vehicles such as the Cobalt.

Bob Lutz spent the first several years at GM criticizing hybrids. I'd rather that the time would have been spent evolving implementations of the Two Mode. A $30K Malibu or Aura that gets an honest 30 MPG combined might be an attractive proposition to those who don't think that the BAS goes far enough and those who think that the Two Mode Tahoe is a bit silly. It also would have put GM further down the path to the ER-EV architecture.
Eric Bryant is offline  
Old 09-04-2008, 08:53 AM
  #9  
Registered User
 
Z28x's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2000
Location: Albany, NY
Posts: 10,287
It is too bad GM wasn't working on something like a plug-in BAS in the late 90's.

I agree with Threxx, Volt will be good PR and will be money well spent. It won't make money, but neither does advertising. Plus it gets GM technological advantage over the competition for when the time comes that these vehicles are profitable and mainstream.
Z28x is offline  
Old 09-04-2008, 11:02 AM
  #10  
Registered User
 
GTOJack's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: SE MI
Posts: 976
I watched Wagoner on a PBS interview state that the Volt would be in the $35,000 to $40,000 range.
GTOJack is offline  
Old 09-04-2008, 12:12 PM
  #11  
Registered User
Thread Starter
 
formula79's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: USA
Posts: 3,698
Originally Posted by GTOJack
I watched Wagoner on a PBS interview state that the Volt would be in the $35,000 to $40,000 range.
And that is just barely making money...if people will spend that much on a compact. It's like there is something I am missing here...why would they cancel so many vehicles to make the Volt? Why not spend that money making something like the Lambda's get better gas milage.
formula79 is offline  
Old 09-04-2008, 12:41 PM
  #12  
Registered User
 
jg95z28's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Oakland, California
Posts: 9,710
I've heard numbers as high as $45,000 to $50,000 for the Volt. I anticipate it will be a limited number higher-end E-Flex hybrid. Then a few years down the road trickle down technology will transfer to a E-Flex hybrid for the masses that's somewhere around $30,000.
jg95z28 is offline  
Old 09-04-2008, 02:16 PM
  #13  
Registered User
 
Z284ever's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Chicagoland IL
Posts: 16,179
Originally Posted by formula79
Why not spend that money making something like the Lambda's get better gas milage.
I think that they are. Rumors are that it's going on a diet.
Z284ever is offline  
Old 09-04-2008, 02:27 PM
  #14  
Registered User
 
91_z28_4me's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: Pewee Valley, KY
Posts: 4,600
Originally Posted by Z284ever
I think that they are. Rumors are that it's going on a diet.
And getting the Vue's 2 mode system as well.
91_z28_4me is offline  
Old 09-04-2008, 02:33 PM
  #15  
Registered User
 
Eric77TA's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Kansas City, MO
Posts: 1,958
Originally Posted by 91_z28_4me
And getting the Vue's 2 mode system as well.
That'll likely be later rather than sooner:

According to Brian Corbett, GM's spokesman for Hybrid programs, there are no immediate plans to build a hybrid version of the Lambdas. In fact, during a conversation we had with Bob Lutz at the LA Auto Show, he indicated that the existing front-wheel-drive, two-mode transmission would not fit in the Lambda's engine compartment as it wasn't wide enough. According to Corbett, a second generation version of the two-mode system was under development, but that is at least three to four years away from launch.

-Autoblog
Eric77TA is offline  


Quick Reply: Will GM actually make money on the Volt?



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:36 PM.