Automotive News / Industry / Future Vehicle Discussion Automotive news and discussion about upcoming vehicles

Let's play Survivor: Overlapping Model Edition...

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Jul 13, 2008 | 05:43 PM
  #31  
FUTURE_OF_GM's Avatar
Registered User
 
Joined: Nov 2001
Posts: 632
From: NC
Originally Posted by dav305z
The latest whispers have GM chopping overlapping models rather than entire brands. This begs the question, which models should/will go?

Here's the breakdown as I see it:

Small cars:

G5
Cobalt
Astra
Vibe

The pressure is low in this segment because it is growing. Nevertheless, the G5 should disappear. With the upcoming Cruze slated for Lordstown, there will be no more pressure from the UAW to try and artificially amp up production at that factory. Pontiac dealers meanwhile, might be content with the new Vibe, which is doing better than the half-assed G5 anyway.
Or, you could make this advantageous and develop a hot coupe from Delta II and give it to Pontiac. You could literally start building the division from the ground up again as a performance division.

I think the Astra should die since it's 1) Old 2) ****ty relative to it's price and 3) doesn't/can't sell worth a damn.

Mid-size:

Mailbu
G6
Aura
LaCrosse
Impala

The LaCrosse is far along on its redesign, despite poor sales. I thought the same was true for the Aura until I saw this story on GMInsideNews. If true, the Aura could be vulnerable. It's a great car (my mother drives an XR), but it's just not selling. What's more, it might not fit at Saturn, which has a real identity crisis on its hands right now.
G6 needs to be replaced by an Alpha based car. Impala needs to move up where it's supposed to be. Lacrosse needs to move upmarket to give the Aura room to breath.

My assumptions have been similarly challenged on the G6. It has long seemed the odd man out, with no planned replacement. And yet, it keeps selling - up 26 percent retail this month. Rick Wagoner even noted it in his e-mail to management last week. This sets up an interesting possibility: could Pontiac feasibly get the Opel rather than Saturn? It's far fetched, but nothing is impossible at this juncture.
1) The G6 has a replacement (MCE) on the way 2) Alpha was supposed to replace G6 until GME got invovled. 3) GME wants Pontiac dead, so they'll never get the Opel. GME wants Satrun to replace Pontiac, despite the fact that Saturn 1) Is falling on its face in the market with all new product and 2) Still can't sell the numbers Pontiac can while Pontiac has transitioned its ENTIRE line up, has blatant outdated cars and chevy rebadges and is losing share/downsizing.

Full-size:

DTS
STS
Lucerne
G8

My oh my how things have changed. Remember a year ago when the full-size segment was going to be flooded with an army of Zeta sedans? Now it seems only one has staggered ashore. The G8 is doing reasonably well. I guess its future depends on CAFE and the exchange rate between the Australian and American dollar.

STS seems safe - Cadillac is a core brand and will complete in every segment. DTS though, is looking increasingly out of place in Cadillac's new showroom. I bet Lucerne can take over most of the DTS sales, but that doesn't necessarily mean that car should continue either. The G-Body is very old and might not be worth real updating, especially if the stretched Epsilon II cars start grabbing these sales.
STS will die and be replaced by CTS, as it should. DTS needs to be replaced with a TRUE 7 series competitor. Lucerne needs to capture DTS buyers on Zeta (Or eps II if certain people get their way and Zeta is killed) G8 needs to remain and be expanded with an emphasis on V6 powertrains for volume. (V8s would still be the top option) This is especially true now that the Zeta Impala is dead and the Lucerne might stay FWD. That's A LOT of room that the G8 can cash in on.

Small SUV's:

Equinox
Torrent
Vue

Kill the Torrent and Vue.
The Torrent needs to go to GMC, as is planned. The Vue needs to stay at Saturn, except it needs to be lighter and cheaper.

Crossovers:

Traverse
Outlook
Enclave
Acadia

Kill the Outlook and Acadia. Outlook is wrong for Saturn and is not selling. Acadia and Enclave are selling in the same showroom - a total waste. Had you asked me before they came out which one should die, I would have said Enclave; however, the Buick has proven itself on the market.
The Outlook is my favorite Lambda, but I agree that it needs to go. Acadia is the best selling Lambda.. Always has been. Enclave is Buicks means of survival. Enclave should be kept, Acadia should be monitored to see how Traverse affects it. If Traverse pulls it sales, then kill it. If not, then leave it.

What will be interesting is the new Cadillac Lambda and how it will fit in (rolls eyes, I know, right?)

Full-size trucks/SUV's

Escalade
Silverado
Sierran
Tahoe/Suburban
Yukon/Yukon XL
H2

Leave GMC as is for now. These rebadges require very little from GM and do continue to sell. If its sales fall even further, I say cut them down to just Denali. Cadillac can't lose the Escalade - it's the vehicle most responsible for the brand's resurgence. Hummer is a separate issue for now, as it is under review.
I agree 110%!

The H2 should either be re-engineered asd a masterpiece of efficiency or it should be killed in favor of the HX and H3.

Last and least, there's the Sky/ Solstice. Strangely, I think both of these have a reason to exist. The Solstice is the heart of the Pontiac brand right now, representing the sole product that was conceived, developed, and executed as a Pontiac. Meanwhile, the Sky design offers global sales, and the inexpensive 4-cylinder sports car suits Saturn's image as well.
Any other views? Of course, this is all mute if GM fails to live up to this commitment, as it always has in the past.
1 of 2 things.

1) Leave the Sky as long as the demographics are different. 2) If the demographics cross over, kill the Sky and give saturn a smaller sporty car. Make the next Solstice more "Sky-like"
Old Jul 13, 2008 | 05:47 PM
  #32  
FUTURE_OF_GM's Avatar
Registered User
 
Joined: Nov 2001
Posts: 632
From: NC
Originally Posted by Z28x
Impala is bigger than G8.

IMO two cars can be in the same segment if they have something that makes them different, like RWD/AWD/FWD. Or like how the G6 has the coupe and convertible.

I agree...

Or if the segment pulls enough volume to support different models.

Like mid-size sedans. GM should have 2 or 3 entries in that segment IMO, to better cater to individual needs of certain segments of customers in the segment.

GM could REALLY use its divisions to its advantage if they would just grasp the concept of focusing them to cater to certain niches and segments of the market.

It basically means that GM could better tailor or customize its entries to customer needs which would result in better, more profitable sales.
Old Jul 13, 2008 | 05:55 PM
  #33  
FUTURE_OF_GM's Avatar
Registered User
 
Joined: Nov 2001
Posts: 632
From: NC
Originally Posted by 90 Z28SS
GM's small cars are up for a big shake up . 2009 is the last year for the G5 and its not getting replaced with a new Delta2 car . By 2010 the only US delta2 vehicles should be Cruz , HHR on delta1 , new Astra , and Saab 9-1 . If it follows thru , Pontiacs new small 4-door sedan with be a RWD Alpha car . And if I understand it correctly chevy will have a micro-compact below the Sub-compact Aveo . Lots of difference , with little overlap looks whats coming in the real near future .
Pontiac is getting an Aveo and the G5 replacement will ride on Delta II. Alpha was supposed to replace G6, but now it appears that corporate politics have put Pontiac out in the cold.




Like the ES300 is to Camry , the Lacrosse can be upmarket enuff to make it viable .
I agree.

If Pontiac intends to stick to original brand mission , which was anyways ...a low volume niche( <-- is not about practical or high volume ) brand of desireable vehicles on the sporting side ....the G6 and Vibe really have no place . They "could" build a brand out of 2 platforms and have full pallete of desireable cars that sold at lower volumes . Solstice hardtop , Solstice vert , Alpha sedan and a alpha hatch or wagon , G8 , G8 coupe , G8 ST and G8 wagon .
I agree and that is very idealistic. Unfortunately, I don't think GM has the ***** to do it. Recent indications have Pontiac being a "starved" Chevrolet rebadge that will eventually disappear.


The Vue sells to well to mess with it .
And by that you mean "used to" because the new Vue is not surpassing old Vue sales.

I think the 2-mode version should be left Chevy though and the Saturn should get a diesel and be more like its German platform mate powerplant wise .
I agree.
Old Jul 13, 2008 | 05:58 PM
  #34  
FUTURE_OF_GM's Avatar
Registered User
 
Joined: Nov 2001
Posts: 632
From: NC
Originally Posted by Silverado C-10
http://www.streetinsider.com/Press+R...e/3785983.html

GM cars did very well last month. Pontiac, Saturn, and Chevy. It's the trucks/suv's that are tanking. GM needs to adjust to the market, build better, smaller, more fuel efficient cars, and build less trucks. No need to kill any brands whatsoever (except maybe hummer.) Trim the SUV/truck production to match demand, get some small efficient cars (PRONTO, NOT 2012) and keep building cars like ths CTS and Malibu.

Why does everyone think killing brands will solve GM's problems? As has been stated... rebadges are relatively cheap and if they're selling.... why ruin a good thing?

Look at Toyota, they're not "trimming the fat" they're expanding. Toyota, Scion, Lexus, now there's talk of a "Prius" brand with it's own line of vehicles.

Thank you very much! You are a smart man! The talk of killing brands is absurd and driven by an anti-Detroit, blood thirsty media.

GM needs to figure out how to get the product right before it screws with the brands again.
Old Jul 15, 2008 | 01:30 PM
  #35  
dav305z's Avatar
Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Joined: Mar 2005
Posts: 757
Originally Posted by FUTURE_OF_GM
1) The G6 has a replacement (MCE) on the way 2) Alpha was supposed to replace G6 until GME got invovled. 3) GME wants Pontiac dead, so they'll never get the Opel. GME wants Satrun to replace Pontiac, despite the fact that Saturn 1) Is falling on its face in the market with all new product and 2) Still can't sell the numbers Pontiac can while Pontiac has transitioned its ENTIRE line up, has blatant outdated cars and chevy rebadges and is losing share/downsizing.
That's what I had read, but it looks like the tea leaves might be bearing something different now. Today, Lutz told reporters Pontiac will be "nourished with product" while noting that the Insignia would be held and that they were concerned about Saturn's seeming inability to move volume.

I really wouldn't be surprised to learn some studio is frantically trying to integrate twin ports into the Insignia's front fender (to the Europeans' dismay and disgust).
Old Jul 15, 2008 | 04:15 PM
  #36  
Plague's Avatar
Registered User
 
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 1,448
From: Irving, TX
Originally Posted by FUTURE_OF_GM
1) The G6 has a replacement (MCE) on the way 2) Alpha was supposed to replace G6 until GME got invovled. 3) GME wants Pontiac dead, so they'll never get the Opel. GME wants Satrun to replace Pontiac, despite the fact that Saturn 1) Is falling on its face in the market with all new product and 2) Still can't sell the numbers Pontiac can while Pontiac has transitioned its ENTIRE line up, has blatant outdated cars and chevy rebadges and is losing share/downsizing.
How do you expect Saturn to sell at the same numbers as Pontiac with far fewer dealers? Saturn has about 450 US dealers. I haven't found the number of Pontiac dealers, but I live in DFW (Irving), lets compare.

There are 5 Saturn dealers in DFW. 2 of them are over 20 miles away.

There are 10 Pontiac dealers less than 20 miles away.

How can Saturn sell at the same volume as Pontiac with far less dealers?
Old Jul 15, 2008 | 06:06 PM
  #37  
mastrdrver's Avatar
Registered User
 
Joined: Jun 2002
Posts: 1,817
From: O-Town
Originally Posted by Plague
How do you expect Saturn to sell at the same numbers as Pontiac with far fewer dealers? Saturn has about 450 US dealers. I haven't found the number of Pontiac dealers, but I live in DFW (Irving), lets compare.

There are 5 Saturn dealers in DFW. 2 of them are over 20 miles away.

There are 10 Pontiac dealers less than 20 miles away.

How can Saturn sell at the same volume as Pontiac with far less dealers?
How do you expect Saturn to sell anything when they get no ad money? Everyone knows Pontiac, everyone thinks they know plastic Saturn.
Old Jul 15, 2008 | 06:59 PM
  #38  
dav305z's Avatar
Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Joined: Mar 2005
Posts: 757
Originally Posted by mastrdrver
How do you expect Saturn to sell anything when they get no ad money? Everyone knows Pontiac, everyone thinks they know plastic Saturn.
Right. So the brand has a limited brand network and very little presence in the marketplace.

Why again, did GM give them an all new lineup?
Old Jul 15, 2008 | 08:31 PM
  #39  
Last of a Breed's Avatar
Registered User
 
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 417
From: Malden, Ma
Originally Posted by dav305z
Right. So the brand has a limited brand network and very little presence in the marketplace.

Why again, did GM give them an all new lineup?
Exactly. Not to derail this thread, but when threads were made of Pontiac having a Firebird twin of the 5th gen Camaro, most people cried that Pontiac didn't deserve it or shouldn't have it because it sold in less numbers than Camaro. Well considering Chevy has alot mre dealers, that would make sense. Now, Saturn's lineup isn't selling well, and people use the fact that it doesn't have many dealerships as a reason. So GM shouldn't invest in it
, and invest in an already established brand.
Old Jul 16, 2008 | 11:45 AM
  #40  
flowmotion's Avatar
Registered User
 
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 1,502
Originally Posted by dav305z
Right. So the brand has a limited brand network and very little presence in the marketplace.

Why again, did GM give them an all new lineup?
Of course you could argue that Pontiac has an underperforming dealer network, poor reputation, and bad demographics, and therefore does not deserve new product either.

But the whole argument kinda misses the point that GM can't support the number of models it has and therefore has to play "russian roulette" with their product updates.

And for some reason people accept that and get into this "my brand rules, your brand sucks" mode. Every brand should have a reasonably new lineup all of the time, and it if doesn't, that signifies deep trouble.
Old Jul 16, 2008 | 12:53 PM
  #41  
dav305z's Avatar
Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Joined: Mar 2005
Posts: 757
Originally Posted by flowmotion
Of course you could argue that Pontiac has an underperforming dealer network, poor reputation, and bad demographics, and therefore does not deserve new product either.

But the whole argument kinda misses the point that GM can't support the number of models it has and therefore has to play "russian roulette" with their product updates.

And for some reason people accept that and get into this "my brand rules, your brand sucks" mode. Every brand should have a reasonably new lineup all of the time, and it if doesn't, that signifies deep trouble.
Sure, I agree. I don't honestly think Saturn "sucks" or is incapable of moving product if it received the right support. I just think Pontiac is more ready to do what GM needs right now. Despite its considerable baggage, it is more capable of moving volume for less of a marketing investment. People might not love Pontiac, but at the very least, they know what kind of cars the brand sells. I think GM undervalued brand recognition.

I don't think GM understood that in giving Saturn all this new product, they would basically have to introduce the brand to the American public.
Old Jul 16, 2008 | 09:49 PM
  #42  
Plague's Avatar
Registered User
 
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 1,448
From: Irving, TX
Originally Posted by FUTURE_OF_GM
Or, you could make this advantageous and develop a hot coupe from Delta II and give it to Pontiac. You could literally start building the division from the ground up again as a performance division.
I think making Pontiac a performance division would actually cause sales to be lost. The cars would be more expensive and worse on gas. This would really hurt the volume there.

Not that I wouldn't love to see Pontiac as a performance division.
Old Jul 17, 2008 | 07:54 AM
  #43  
dav305z's Avatar
Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Joined: Mar 2005
Posts: 757
Originally Posted by Plague
I think making Pontiac a performance division would actually cause sales to be lost. The cars would be more expensive and worse on gas. This would really hurt the volume there.

Not that I wouldn't love to see Pontiac as a performance division.
I also think this plan was ill thought out (I had another thread about this, so sorry if I steered this into another venue for me to bitch and whine about Pontiac).

Somehow, GM looked at their second highest volume car division and thought they could make a neato niche brand out of it. Performance cars are great and everything, don't get me wrong, but it's Grand Am's and Grand Prix's that pay the bills, and somehow GM forgot that. Let's hope they remember now.
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
CARiD
Supporting Vendor Group Purchases and Sales
0
Sep 30, 2015 05:44 AM
NewsBot
2010 - 2015 Camaro News, Sightings, Pictures, and Multimedia
0
Sep 14, 2015 09:20 AM
Bxlt1
General 1967-2002 F-Body Tech
3
Sep 10, 2015 08:16 AM
scottcba1
Cars For Sale
1
Sep 8, 2015 09:52 AM
CARiD
Supporting Vendor Group Purchases and Sales
0
Sep 7, 2015 08:21 AM




All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:42 PM.